
Manual for Operationalizing Impact-based Forecasting and Warning Services (IBFWS)
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This manual was developed under the project “Operationalizing Impact-based Forecasting and Warning Services (IBFWS)”, to support the capacity of the Viet Nam Meteorological and Hydrological Administration (VNMHA) to provide impact-based forecasting and early warning services. The objective is to introduce impact-based forecasting and the substantive steps for producing an impact-based forecast, with a focus on the local context of Viet Nam. This will be covered over 3 modules in the training manual.
- Module 1 discusses what impact-based forecasting is, why it is used, and provides examples of successful implementation and use of impact-based forecasting by governments across the world.
- Module 2 introduces the steps required for producing an impact-based forecast for typhoons.
- Module 3 guides steps to develop impact outlooks based on anomalies in seasonal forecasts (e.g., lower-than-usual rainfall) which may contribute to the exacerbation of slow-onset disasters such as droughts.